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Data

We will be using data from the curatedMetagenomicData package. For easier installation, we saved a flat copy of the data, but the steps below show how that was created.

if (! "BiocManager" %in% installed.packages()) install.packages("BiocManager")
if (! "curatedMetagenomicData" %in% installed.packages()) BiocManager::install("curatedMetagenomicData")
if (! "patchwork" %in% installed.packages()) install.packages("patchwork")
library(curatedMetagenomicData)

# Take a look at the summary of the studies available:
curatedMetagenomicData::sampleMetadata  |> group_by(.data$study_name, .data$study_condition) |> count() |> arrange(.data$study_name) 
#As an example, let us look at the `YachidaS_2019` study between healthy controls and colorectal cancer (CRC) patients.
curatedMetagenomicData::curatedMetagenomicData("YachidaS_2019") 
# note --  if you are behind a firewall, see the solutions to 500 errors here:
# https://support.bioconductor.org/p/132864/
rawdata <- curatedMetagenomicData::curatedMetagenomicData("2021-03-31.YachidaS_2019.relative_abundance", dryrun = FALSE, counts = TRUE) |>  mergeData()
x <- SummarizedExperiment::assays(rawdata)$relative_abundance %>% t()
y <- rawdata@colData$disease

save(list = c("x", "y"),  file = file.path("inst", "extdata", "YachidaS_2019.Rdata"))
load(system.file("extdata", "YachidaS_2019.Rdata", package="FLORAL"))

Running FLORAL

We extracted the data from the TreeSummarizedExperiment object to two objects: the taxa matrix x and the “outcomes” vector y of whether a patient is healthy or has colorectal cancer (CRC). Note that for binary outcomes, the input vector y needs to be formatted with entries equal to either 0 or 1. In addition, we need to specify family = "binomial" in FLORAL to fit the logistic regression model. To print the progress bar as the algorithm runs, please use progress = TRUE.


x <- x[y %in% c("CRC","healthy"),]
x <- x[,colSums(x >= 100) >= nrow(x)*0.2] # filter low abundance taxa

colnames(x) <- sapply(colnames(x), function(x) strsplit(x,split="[|]")[[1]][length(strsplit(x,split="[|]")[[1]])])

y <- as.numeric(as.factor(y[y %in% c("CRC","healthy")]))-1
fit <- FLORAL(x = x, y = y, family="binomial", ncv=10, progress=TRUE)
#> Using elastic net with a=1.Algorithm running for full dataset: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 1 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 2 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 3 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 4 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 5 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 6 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 7 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 8 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 9 out of 10: 
#> Algorithm running for cv dataset 10 out of 10:

Interpreting the Model

FLORAL, like other methods that have an optimization step, has two “best” solutions for λ\lambda available: one minimizing the mean squared error (λmin\lambda_\min), and one maximizing the value of λ\lambda withing 1 standard error of the minimum mean squared error (λ1se\lambda_{\text{1se}}). These are referred to as the min and 1se solutions, respectively.

We can see the mean squared error (MSE) and the coefficients vs log(λ\lambda) as follows:

fit$pmse + fit$pcoef

In both plots, the vertical dashed line and dotted line represent λmin\lambda_\min and λ1se\lambda_{\text{1se}}, respectively. In the MSE plot, the bands represent plus minus one standard error of the MSE. In the coefficient plot, the colored lines represent individual taxa, where taxa with non-zero values at λmin\lambda_\min and λ1se\lambda_{\text{1se}} are selected as predictive of the outcome.

To view specific names of the selected taxa, please see fit$selected.feature$min or fit$selected.feature$1se vectors. To view all coefficient estimates, please see fit$best.beta$min or fit$best.beta$1se. Without looking into ratios, one can crudely interpret positive or negative association between a taxon and the outcome by the positive or negative sign of the coefficient estimates. However, we recommend referring to the two-step procedure discussed below for a more rigorous interpretation based on ratios, which is derived from the log-ratio model assumption.


head(fit$selected.feature$min)
#> [1] "s__Actinomyces_sp_HMSC035G02"      "s__Actinomyces_sp_ICM47"          
#> [3] "s__Anaerotignum_lactatifermentans" "s__Anaerotruncus_colihominis"     
#> [5] "s__Asaccharobacter_celatus"        "s__Bacteroides_caccae"

head(sort(fit$best.beta$min))
#>             s__Parvimonas_micra      s__Collinsella_aerofaciens 
#>                     -0.07868135                     -0.04559018 
#>    s__Actinomyces_sp_HMSC035G02        s__Holdemania_filiformis 
#>                     -0.04128899                     -0.03473013 
#>    s__Anaerotruncus_colihominis s__Bacteroides_cellulosilyticus 
#>                     -0.02883898                     -0.02154445

The Two-step Procedure

In the previous section, we checked the lasso estimates without identifying specific ratios that are predictive of the outcome (CRC in this case). By default, FLORAL performs a two-step selection procedure to use glmnet and step regression to further identify taxa pairs which form predictive log-ratios. To view those pairs, use fit$step2.ratios$min or fit$step2.ratios$1se for names of ratios and fit$step2.ratios$min.idx or fit$step2.ratios$1se.idx for the pairs of indices in the original input count matrix x. Note that one taxon can occur in multiple ratios.


head(fit$step2.ratios$`1se`)
#> [1] "s__Bacteroides_plebeius/s__Roseburia_faecis"                    
#> [2] "s__Eubacterium_eligens/s__Bacteroides_cellulosilyticus"         
#> [3] "s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Bifidobacterium_pseudocatenulatum"
#> [4] "s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Coprobacter_fastidiosus"          
#> [5] "s__Streptococcus_salivarius/s__Parvimonas_micra"                
#> [6] "s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Eubacterium_sp_CAG_38"

fit$step2.ratios$`1se.idx`
#>      [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4] [,5] [,6] [,7] [,8] [,9] [,10]
#> [1,]   NA    1    4   12   12   22   27   27   64    73
#> [2,]   NA   81  113  102  114  131   90  151  131    80

To further interpret the positive or negative associations between the outcome, please refer to the output step regression tables, where the effect sizes of the ratios can be found.

While the corresponding p-values are also available, we recommend only using the p-values as a criterion to rank the strength of the association. We do not recommend directly reporting the p-values for inference, because these p-values were obtained after running the first step lasso model without rigorous post-selective inference. However, it is still valid to claim these selected log-ratios are predictive of the outcome, as demonstrated by the improved 10-fold cross-validated prediction errors.


fit$step2.tables$`1se`
#>                                                                    Estimate
#> (Intercept)                                                     -0.27768687
#> s__Bacteroides_plebeius/s__Roseburia_faecis                     -0.03017163
#> s__Eubacterium_eligens/s__Bacteroides_cellulosilyticus           0.04757745
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Bifidobacterium_pseudocatenulatum -0.03155717
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Coprobacter_fastidiosus           -0.04228961
#> s__Streptococcus_salivarius/s__Parvimonas_micra                  0.07442538
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Eubacterium_sp_CAG_38               -0.04151069
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Proteobacteria_bacterium_CAG_139    -0.03977612
#> s__Clostridium_aldenense/s__Parvimonas_micra                     0.07865537
#> s__Lachnospira_pectinoschiza/s__Ruminococcus_torques             0.03308018
#>                                                                 Std. Error
#> (Intercept)                                                     0.21517691
#> s__Bacteroides_plebeius/s__Roseburia_faecis                     0.01108305
#> s__Eubacterium_eligens/s__Bacteroides_cellulosilyticus          0.01352613
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Bifidobacterium_pseudocatenulatum 0.01570154
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Coprobacter_fastidiosus           0.01670159
#> s__Streptococcus_salivarius/s__Parvimonas_micra                 0.02220180
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Eubacterium_sp_CAG_38               0.01573689
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Proteobacteria_bacterium_CAG_139    0.01768439
#> s__Clostridium_aldenense/s__Parvimonas_micra                    0.02322619
#> s__Lachnospira_pectinoschiza/s__Ruminococcus_torques            0.01260594
#>                                                                   z value
#> (Intercept)                                                     -1.290505
#> s__Bacteroides_plebeius/s__Roseburia_faecis                     -2.722323
#> s__Eubacterium_eligens/s__Bacteroides_cellulosilyticus           3.517448
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Bifidobacterium_pseudocatenulatum -2.009814
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Coprobacter_fastidiosus           -2.532071
#> s__Streptococcus_salivarius/s__Parvimonas_micra                  3.352223
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Eubacterium_sp_CAG_38               -2.637794
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Proteobacteria_bacterium_CAG_139    -2.249223
#> s__Clostridium_aldenense/s__Parvimonas_micra                     3.386494
#> s__Lachnospira_pectinoschiza/s__Ruminococcus_torques             2.624173
#>                                                                     Pr(>|z|)
#> (Intercept)                                                     0.1968753868
#> s__Bacteroides_plebeius/s__Roseburia_faecis                     0.0064824806
#> s__Eubacterium_eligens/s__Bacteroides_cellulosilyticus          0.0004357183
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Bifidobacterium_pseudocatenulatum 0.0444509033
#> s__Collinsella_aerofaciens/s__Coprobacter_fastidiosus           0.0113391045
#> s__Streptococcus_salivarius/s__Parvimonas_micra                 0.0008016534
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Eubacterium_sp_CAG_38               0.0083447178
#> s__Holdemania_filiformis/s__Proteobacteria_bacterium_CAG_139    0.0244983246
#> s__Clostridium_aldenense/s__Parvimonas_micra                    0.0007079184
#> s__Lachnospira_pectinoschiza/s__Ruminococcus_torques            0.0086859550

Generating taxa selection probabilities

It is encouraged to run k-fold cross-validation for several times to account for the random fold splits. FLORAL provides mcv.FLORAL functions to repeat cross-validations for mcv times and on ncore cores. The output summarizes taxa selection probabilities, average coefficients based on λmin\lambda_\min and λ1se\lambda_{\text{1se}}. Interpretable plots can be created if plot = TRUE is specified.


mcv.fit <- mcv.FLORAL(mcv=2,
                      ncore=1,
                      x = x, 
                      y = y, 
                      family = "binomial", 
                      ncv = 3,
                      progress=TRUE)
#> Warning in mcv.FLORAL(mcv = 2, ncore = 1, x = x, y = y, family = "binomial", :
#> Using 1 core for computation.
#> Random 3-fold cross-validation: 1
#> Random 3-fold cross-validation: 2

mcv.fit$p_min


#Other options are also available
#mcv.fit$p_min_ratio
#mcv.fit$p_1se
#mcv.fit$p_1se_ratio

Elastic net

Beyond lasso model, FLORAL also supports elastic net models by specifying the tuning parameter a between 0 and 1. Lasso penalty will be used when a=1 while ridge penalty will be used when a=0.

The a.FLORAL function can help investigate the prediction performance for different choices of a and return a plot of the corresponding prediction metric trajectories against the choice of λ\lambda.


a.fit <- a.FLORAL(a = c(0.1,1),
                  ncore = 1,
                  x = x, 
                  y = y, 
                  family = "binomial", 
                  ncv = 3,
                  progress=TRUE)
#> Warning in a.FLORAL(a = c(0.1, 1), ncore = 1, x = x, y = y, family =
#> "binomial", : Using 1 core for computation.
#> Running for a = 0.1
#> Running for a = 1

a.fit